Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.290117 3.483214 3.689047 3.926086 4.193199 4.486923 4.837199
2025-08-24 2.953327 3.210885 3.499983 3.852925 4.278578 4.784297 5.445273
2025-08-31 2.733011 3.034378 3.387059 3.839467 4.419263 5.161004 6.227083
2025-09-07 2.529570 2.852681 3.242948 3.763457 4.464827 5.422080 6.927364
2025-09-14 2.358137 2.691815 3.105013 3.673840 4.473496 5.629535 7.610869
2025-09-21 2.212135 2.549422 2.975471 3.577372 4.454344 5.788228 8.268473
2025-09-28 2.127600 2.477548 2.929317 3.586357 4.584146 6.198186 9.537351
2025-10-05 2.113086 2.493783 2.999436 3.764147 4.994857 7.177180 12.575983
2025-10-12 2.055945 2.448339 2.979758 3.805805 5.192926 7.835759 15.513202
2025-10-19 2.001417 2.402245 2.954467 3.834341 5.371481 8.515122 19.473461
2025-10-26 1.972370 2.388773 2.973905 3.933825 5.693929 9.642317 28.009417
2025-11-02 1.919798 2.338873 2.935521 3.933834 5.827276 10.377985 38.157866
2025-11-09 1.823375 2.227784 2.807242 3.786293 5.675149 10.382628 44.537714
2025-11-16 1.748636 2.145074 2.718247 3.700196 5.641929 10.751776 61.726334
2025-11-23 1.694477 2.089648 2.667824 3.676905 5.740908 11.617329 130.549445
2025-11-30 1.632486 2.019974 2.591236 3.600307 5.711020 12.060309 374.468866
2025-12-07 1.573066 1.951563 2.512904 3.513924 5.645819 12.361173 NaN
2025-12-14 1.516910 1.885759 2.435354 3.422813 5.556324 12.538009 NaN
2025-12-21 1.485411 1.855162 2.411960 3.429691 5.703690 13.876988 NaN
2025-12-28 1.486791 1.873493 2.467909 3.592043 6.284287 18.344549 NaN
2026-01-04 1.463954 1.853890 2.460239 3.629608 6.549446 21.815000 NaN
2026-01-11 1.440415 1.832097 2.447450 3.655349 6.791034 26.118458 NaN
2026-01-18 1.429149 1.828663 2.465235 3.746016 7.263988 36.198059 NaN